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1.
REME rev. min. enferm ; 27: 1491, jan.-2023. Fig.
Artigo em Inglês, Português | LILACS, BDENF - Enfermagem | ID: biblio-1523642

RESUMO

Objetivo: relatar as experiências obtidas com a Capacitação Virtual em História da Enfermagem no período de distanciamento social da pandemia da COVID-19. Método: relato de experiência da construção e execução de uma Capacitação por meio de mídia virtual, desenvolvida no ano de 2020, em uma parceria entre ações extensionistas dos museus das Escolas de Enfermagem de Universidades Públicas Federais/Brasil, com apoio da Associação Brasileira de Enfermagem. As experiências foram discutidas nos campos da História da Enfermagem e da Educação. Resultados: com um total de 132 inscritos, a Capacitação foi realizada por meio de quatro transmissões ao vivo através do Instagram. A utilização de lives de acesso livre ao público possibilitou alcançar em média 358 pessoas. Os formulários elaborados e distribuídos aos inscritos subsidiaram a estruturação dos conteúdos abordados durante os encontros, a criação de metodologias ativas disponibilizadas aos participantes para apoiar o ensino de História da Enfermagem e também a avaliação final da Capacitação. Conclusão: a Capacitação permitiu contornar as dificuldades impostas pelo distanciamento social e contribuiu para dar protagonismo aos envolvidos, constituindo uma rede de apoio ao ensino de História da Enfermagem.(AU)


Objective: to report the experiences obtained in the Virtual Training in Nursing History in the period of social distancing resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic. Method: experience report on the construction and implementation of training through virtual media, carried out in the year 2020 in a partnership between extensionist actions of the museums of the Schools of Nursing of federal public universities in Brazil, with the support of the Brazilian Association of Nursing Section Minas Gerais (ABEn). In the experiences, the fields of History of Nursing and Education were discussed. Results: with a total of 132 subscribers, the Training was carried out through four live broadcasts on Instagram. The use of lives with free access to the public made it possible to reach, on average, 358 people. The forms prepared and distributed to those enrolled supported the following steps: structuring the content addressed during the meetings; the creation of active methodologies available to participants to support the teaching of History of Nursing; and the final evaluation of the Training. Conclusion: training made it possible to overcome the difficulties imposed by social distancing and contributed to giving prominence to those involved, constituting a support network in the teaching of Nursing History.(AU)


Objetivo: contar las experiencias de la Formación Virtual en Historia de la Enfermería en el período de distanciamiento social de la pandemia del COVID-19. Método: relato de cómo fue la experiencia de la creación y ejecución de una Formación a través de medios virtuales, desarrollada en el año 2020, en una alianza entre acciones extensionistas de los museos de las Escuelas de Enfermería de las Universidades Públicas Federales/Brasil, con apoyo de la Asociación Brasileña de Enfermería. Las experiencias fueron discutidas en los campos de Historia de la Enfermería y de la Educación. Resultados: con un total de 132 inscritos, la Formación se llevó a cabo mediante cuatro transmisiones en directo a través de Instagram. El uso de ''en directos" de libre acceso al público permitió llegar a una media de 358 personas. Los formularios elaborados y distribuidos a los participantes apoyaron la estructuración de los contenidos abordados durante los encuentros, la creación de metodologías activas a disposición de los participantes para apoyar la enseñanza dela Historia de la Enfermería y también la evaluación final de la Formación. Conclusión: la Formación permitió superar las dificultades impuestas por el distanciamiento social y contribuyó a dar protagonismo a los implicados, constituyendo una red de apoyo a la enseñanza de la Historia de la Enfermería.(AU)


Assuntos
Humanos , Escolas de Enfermagem/história , Ensino/educação , Universidades/história , COVID-19/história , História da Enfermagem , Isolamento Social , Acesso à Informação/história
2.
Science ; 378(6615): 17-21, 2022 10 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36201592

RESUMO

With rigorous science and good-humored braggadocio, Tulio de Oliveira champions coronavirus research from the Global South.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Biologia Computacional , SARS-CoV-2 , Análise de Sequência de RNA , Brasil , COVID-19/história , COVID-19/virologia , Biologia Computacional/história , História do Século XXI , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Análise de Sequência de RNA/história , África do Sul
4.
Artigo em Inglês | LILACS | ID: biblio-1402525

RESUMO

Intensive Care Medicine gained prominence in 2020 and 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It is a recent medical specialty, which many physicians and the public know little about. This article makes a historical perspective, from the emergence of the first areas for observation of critically ill patients in the nineteenth century to the present, to the impact of the pandemic and its consequences (AU)


A Medicina Intensiva ganhou destaque no anos de 2020 e 2021 devido à pandemia por COVID-19. Trata-se de uma especialidade recente, e ainda pouco conhecida por muitos médicos e pelo público. Este artigo faz uma perspectiva histórica, desde o surgimento das primeiras áreas para observação de pacientes graves no século XIX, até o pre-sente, com o impacto da pandemia, e as perspectivas futuras (AU)


Assuntos
Cuidados Críticos , COVID-19/história , História
5.
Blood Purif ; 51(1): 1-14, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33789273

RESUMO

Since early 2020, COVID-19 has wreaked havoc in many societies around the world. As of the present, the SARS-CoV-2-borne disease is propagating in almost all countries, affecting hundreds of thousands of people in an unprecedented way. As the name suggests, the novel coronavirus, widely known as SARS-CoV-2, is a new emerging human pathogen. A novel disease of relatively unknown origin, COVID-19 does not seem to be amenable to the currently available medicines since there is no specific cure for the disease. In the absence of any vaccine or effective antiviral medication, we have no tools at our disposal, but the method of quarantine, be it domestic or institutional, to hinder any further progression of this outbreak. However, there is a record of physicians in the past who practiced convalescent blood transfusion. To their awe, the method seemed to be useful. It is anticipated that these contemporary methods will outdo any other vaccination process in the time being, as blood transfusion is instead a cost-effective and time-friendly technique. Following a successful trial, this new approach of contemporary nature to a viral disease may serve as an emergency intervention to intercept infectious outbreaks and prevent an impending epidemic/pandemic. In this review, we document the most recent evidence regarding the efficiency of convalescent plasma and serum therapy on SARS, MERS, and particularly COVID-19, while discussing potential advantages and possible risks of such practice.


Assuntos
COVID-19/terapia , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticorpos Antivirais/imunologia , Anticorpos Antivirais/uso terapêutico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/história , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Convalescença , Infecções por Coronavirus/terapia , Previsões , História do Século XX , Humanos , Imunização Passiva/efeitos adversos , Imunização Passiva/ética , Imunização Passiva/história , Imunização Passiva/tendências , Influenza Humana/terapia , Plasma , Risco , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Soro , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/terapia , Soroterapia para COVID-19
6.
In. Mazza, Norma. Medicina intensiva: en busca de la memoria. Montevideo, Fin de Siglo, 2022. p.189-210.
Monografia em Espanhol | LILACS, UY-BNMED, BNUY | ID: biblio-1434453
8.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(49)2021 12 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34845032

RESUMO

The development of COVID-19 vaccines was an important breakthrough for ending the pandemic. However, people refusing to get vaccinated diminish the level of community protection afforded to others. In the United States, White evangelicals have proven to be a particularly difficult group to convince to get vaccinated. Here we investigate whether this group can be persuaded to get vaccinated. To do this, we leverage data from two survey experiments, one fielded prior to approval of COVID-19 vaccines (study 1) and one fielded after approval (study 2). In both experiments, respondents were randomly assigned to treatment messages to promote COVID-19 vaccination. In study 1, we find that a message that emphasizes community interest and reciprocity with an invocation of embarrassment for choosing not to vaccinate is the most effective at increasing uptake intentions, while values-consistent messaging appears to be ineffective. In contrast, in study 2 we observe that this message is no longer effective and that most messages produce little change in vaccine intent. This inconsistency may be explained by the characteristics of White evangelicals who remain unvaccinated vis à vis those who got vaccinated. These results demonstrate the importance of retesting messages over time, the apparent limitations of values-targeted messaging, and document the need to consider heterogeneity even within well-defined populations. This work also cautions against drawing broad conclusions from studies carried out at a single point in time during the COVID-19 pandemic.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Comunicação Persuasiva , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacinação , População Branca , COVID-19/história , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Estações do Ano , Envio de Mensagens de Texto , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/etnologia , Vacinação/métodos , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos
9.
Nat Commun ; 12(1): 6009, 2021 10 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34650062

RESUMO

By October 2021, 230 million SARS-CoV-2 diagnoses have been reported. Yet, a considerable proportion of cases remains undetected. Here, we propose GInPipe, a method that rapidly reconstructs SARS-CoV-2 incidence profiles solely from publicly available, time-stamped viral genomes. We validate GInPipe against simulated outbreaks and elaborate phylodynamic analyses. Using available sequence data, we reconstruct incidence histories for Denmark, Scotland, Switzerland, and Victoria (Australia) and demonstrate, how to use the method to investigate the effects of changing testing policies on case ascertainment. Specifically, we find that under-reporting was highest during summer 2020 in Europe, coinciding with more liberal testing policies at times of low testing capacities. Due to the increased use of real-time sequencing, it is envisaged that GInPipe can complement established surveillance tools to monitor the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. In post-pandemic times, when diagnostic efforts are decreasing, GInPipe may facilitate the detection of hidden infection dynamics.


Assuntos
COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Genoma Viral , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/história , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Incidência , Pandemias , Filogenia , SARS-CoV-2/classificação , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Escócia , Suíça , Vitória
10.
Future Microbiol ; 16: 1105-1133, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34468163

RESUMO

SARS-CoV-2 is the etiological agent of the current pandemic worldwide and its associated disease COVID-19. In this review, we have analyzed SARS-CoV-2 characteristics and those ones of other well-known RNA viruses viz. HIV, HCV and Influenza viruses, collecting their historical data, clinical manifestations and pathogenetic mechanisms. The aim of the work is obtaining useful insights and lessons for a better understanding of SARS-CoV-2. These pathogens present a distinct mode of transmission, as SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza viruses are airborne, whereas HIV and HCV are bloodborne. However, these viruses exhibit some potential similar clinical manifestations and pathogenetic mechanisms and their understanding may contribute to establishing preventive measures and new therapies against SARS-CoV-2.


Assuntos
COVID-19/história , Pandemias/história , SARS-CoV-2/fisiologia , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Clima , Reservatórios de Doenças/virologia , Genoma Viral , História do Século XIX , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Mutação , Vírus de RNA/patogenicidade , Vírus de RNA/fisiologia , Reinfecção/epidemiologia , Reinfecção/história , Reinfecção/transmissão , Reinfecção/virologia , Infecções Respiratórias/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Infecções Respiratórias/história , Infecções Respiratórias/transmissão , Replicação Viral , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19
11.
Infect Genet Evol ; 95: 105081, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34520873

RESUMO

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has harshly impacted Italy since its arrival in February 2020. In particular, provinces in Italy's Central and Northern macroregions have dealt with disproportionately greater case prevalence and mortality rates than those in the South. In this paper, we compare the morbidity and mortality dynamics of 16th and 17th century Plague outbreaks with those of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic across Italian regions. We also include data on infectious respiratory diseases which are presently endemic to Italy in order to analyze the regional differences between epidemic and endemic disease. A Growth Curve Analysis allowed for the estimation of time-related intercepts and slopes across the 16th and 17th centuries. Those statistical parameters were later incorporated as criterion variables in multiple General Linear Models. These statistical examinations determined that the Northern macroregion had a higher intercept than the Southern macroregion. This indicated that provinces located in Northern Italy had historically experienced higher plague mortalities than Southern polities. The analyses also revealed that this geographical differential in morbidity and mortality persists to this day, as the Northern macroregion has experienced a substantially higher COVID-19 mortality than the Southern macroregion. These results are consistent with previously published analyses. The only other stable and significant predictor of epidemic disease mortality was foreign urban potential, a measure of the degree of interconnectedness between 16th and 17th century Italian cities. Foreign urban potential was negatively associated with plague slope and positively associated with plague intercept, COVID-19 mortality, GDP per capita, and immigration per capita. Its substantial contribution in predicting both past and present outcomes provides a temporal continuity not seen in any other measure tested here. Overall, this study provides compelling evidence that temporally stable geographical factors, impacting both historical and current foreign pathogen spread above and beyond other hypothesized predictors, underlie the disproportionate impact COVID-19 has had throughout Central and Northern Italian provinces.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Doenças Endêmicas/história , Modelos Estatísticos , Pandemias , Peste/epidemiologia , COVID-19/história , COVID-19/mortalidade , Cidades , Emigrantes e Imigrantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Geografia , Produto Interno Bruto , História do Século XVI , História do Século XVII , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Peste/história , Peste/mortalidade , Prevalência , Análise de Sobrevida
12.
Viruses ; 13(9)2021 09 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34578387

RESUMO

Brazil was considered one of the emerging epicenters of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021, experiencing over 3000 daily deaths caused by the virus at the peak of the second wave. In total, the country had more than 20.8 million confirmed cases of COVID-19, including over 582,764 fatalities. A set of emerging variants arose in the country, some of them posing new challenges for COVID-19 control. The goal of this study was to describe mutational events across samples from Brazilian SARS-CoV-2 sequences publicly obtainable on Global Initiative on Sharing Avian Influenza Data-EpiCoV (GISAID-EpiCoV) platform and to generate indexes of new mutations by each genome. A total of 16,953 SARS-CoV-2 genomes were obtained, which were not proportionally representative of the five Brazilian geographical regions. A comparative sequence analysis was conducted to identify common mutations located at 42 positions of the genome (38 were in coding regions, whereas two were in 5' and two in 3' UTR). Moreover, 11 were synonymous variants, 27 were missense variants, and more than 44.4% were located in the spike gene. Across the total of single nucleotide variations (SNVs) identified, 32 were found in genomes obtained from all five Brazilian regions. While a high genomic diversity has been reported in Europe given the large number of sequenced genomes, Africa has demonstrated high potential for new variants. In South America, Brazil, and Chile, rates have been similar to those found in South Africa and India, providing enough "space" for new mutations to arise. Genomic surveillance is the central key to identifying the emerging variants of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil and has shown that the country is one of the "hotspots" in the generation of new variants.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Genoma Viral , Mutação , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Brasil/epidemiologia , COVID-19/história , Evolução Molecular , Genótipo , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Taxa de Mutação , Filogenia , Filogeografia , Vigilância em Saúde Pública
13.
Viruses ; 13(9)2021 09 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34578394

RESUMO

Approximately 67% of U.S. households have pets. Limited data are available on SARS-CoV-2 in pets. We assessed SARS-CoV-2 infection in pets during a COVID-19 household transmission investigation. Pets from households with ≥1 person with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 were eligible for inclusion from April-May 2020. We enrolled 37 dogs and 19 cats from 34 households. All oropharyngeal, nasal, and rectal swabs tested negative by rRT-PCR; one dog's fur swabs (2%) tested positive by rRT-PCR at the first sampling. Among 47 pets with serological results, eight (17%) pets (four dogs, four cats) from 6/30 (20%) households had detectable SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies. In households with a seropositive pet, the proportion of people with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 was greater (median 79%; range: 40-100%) compared to households with no seropositive pet (median 37%; range: 13-100%) (p = 0.01). Thirty-three pets with serologic results had frequent daily contact (≥1 h) with the index patient before the person's COVID-19 diagnosis. Of these 33 pets, 14 (42%) had decreased contact with the index patient after diagnosis and none were seropositive; of the 19 (58%) pets with continued contact, four (21%) were seropositive. Seropositive pets likely acquired infection after contact with people with COVID-19. People with COVID-19 should restrict contact with pets and other animals.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Animais de Estimação/virologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Animais , COVID-19/história , COVID-19/transmissão , Gatos , Cães , Características da Família , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Animais de Estimação/história , Filogenia , Vigilância da População , RNA Viral , SARS-CoV-2/classificação , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Utah/epidemiologia , Zoonoses Virais/epidemiologia , Wisconsin/epidemiologia
14.
Virus Res ; 305: 198553, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34487767

RESUMO

COVID-19 is seriously threatening human health all over the world. A comprehensive understanding of the genetic mechanisms driving the rapid evolution of its pathogen (SARS-CoV-2) is the key to controlling this pandemic. In this study, by comparing the entire genome sequences of SARS-CoV-2 isolates from Asia, Europe and America, and analyzing their phylogenetic histories, we found a lineage derived from a recombination event that likely occurred before March 2020. More importantly, the recombinant offspring has become the dominant strain responsible for more than one-third of the global cases in the pandemic. These results indicated that the recombination might have played a key role in the pandemic of the virus.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Evolução Molecular , Genoma Viral , Recombinação Homóloga , Mosaicismo , SARS-CoV-2/genética , América/epidemiologia , Ásia/epidemiologia , Sequência de Bases , COVID-19/história , COVID-19/transmissão , COVID-19/virologia , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Genômica/métodos , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Mutação , Filogenia , SARS-CoV-2/classificação , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade
15.
Hist. ciênc. saúde-Manguinhos ; 28(3): 879-883, jul.-set. 2021.
Artigo em Espanhol | LILACS | ID: biblio-1339963

RESUMO

Resumen El desarrollo de la pandemia de la covid-19 ha motivado un renovado interés por la gripe de 1918-1919 para buscar elementos que facilitaran la comprensión de la experiencia presente, pero también como oportunidad para reevaluar la grave crisis sanitaria del siglo XX a la luz de lo que estamos viviendo. En este contexto y con ese objetivo se inserta esta reflexión histórica sobre estos dos fenómenos pandémicos, que muestra los paralelismos existentes y la necesidad de una toma de conciencia de que nuestro modelo de sociedad está en crisis y se requiere una transformación profunda.


Abstract The rise of the covid-19 pandemic has led to renewed interest in the 1918-1919 influenza in search of aspects that might help us understand the current situation, but also as an opportunity to re-evaluate the serious twentieth-century health crisis in light of what we are experiencing now. In this context and with that goal, this historical reflection shows the parallels that exist and the need for a realization that our model of society is undergoing a crisis and requires profound transformation.


Assuntos
Humanos , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Influenza Humana/história , Pandemias/história , COVID-19/história , Vacinas contra Influenza/história , Higiene/história , Negação em Psicologia , I Guerra Mundial , Economia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Influenza Humana/transmissão , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/história , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/transmissão , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Militares/história
16.
Hist. ciênc. saúde-Manguinhos ; 28(3): 869-874, jul.-set. 2021.
Artigo em Espanhol | LILACS | ID: biblio-1339968

RESUMO

Resumen Este artículo describe el inicio de las preocupaciones sanitarias vinculadas a las epidemias ocurridas durante el siglo XX en La Pampa, provincia argentina. Las epidemias, como las de la viruela, fueron un estímulo para estas políticas que frecuentemente tuvieron origen en Buenos Aires, la capital del país. El contagio de muchas epidemias dependía de carencias de infraestructura: agua, desagüe y desecho adecuado de basuras, de la ausencia de un número suficiente de trabajadores de salud, de la presencia de vectores transmisores de enfermedades como los mosquitos y, en última instancia, de la pobreza. La experiencia histórica descrita en este texto resalta la importancia de analizar el impacto del SARS-CoV-2 más allá de las grandes ciudades.


Abstract This article describes the emergence of health concerns relating to the epidemics that occurred during the twentieth century in La Pampa, a province in Argentina. Epidemics such as smallpox drove such policies, which frequently originated in Buenos Aires, the country's capital. The spread of many epidemics was due to shortages: water, sewage and adequate refuse disposal, an insufficient number of health care workers, the presence of disease transmission vectors such as mosquitos, and, ultimately, poverty. The historical experience described in this text highlights the importance of analyzing the impact of SARS-CoV-2 beyond the big cities.


Assuntos
Humanos , Animais , Masculino , Feminino , Criança , História do Século XX , Varíola/história , Epidemias/história , COVID-19/história , Argentina/epidemiologia , Pobreza/história , Esgotos , Abastecimento de Água/história , Varíola/prevenção & controle , Varíola/epidemiologia , Índios Sul-Americanos/história , Índios Sul-Americanos/estatística & dados numéricos , Eliminação de Resíduos/história , Vacinação/história , Vacinação/legislação & jurisprudência , Cidades/história , Cidades/epidemiologia , Pessoal de Saúde/história , Pessoal de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Erradicação de Doenças/história , Erradicação de Doenças/organização & administração , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Política de Saúde/história , Política de Saúde/legislação & jurisprudência , Insetos Vetores , Militares/história
17.
Emerg Microbes Infect ; 10(1): 1660-1668, 2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34350810

RESUMO

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic is a major challenge worldwide. However, the epidemic potential of common human coronaviruses (HCoVs) remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the epidemiological and co-infection characteristics of common HCoVs in individuals with influenza-like illness (ILI) and severe acute respiratory infection (SARI). This retrospective, observational, multicentre study used data collected from patients admitted to nine sentinel hospitals with ILI and SARI from January 2015 through December 2020 in Shanghai, China. We prospectively tested patients for a total of 22 respiratory pathogens using multi-real-time polymerase chain reaction. Of the 4541 patients tested, 40.37% (1833/4541) tested positive for respiratory pathogens and 3.59% (163/4541) tested positive for common HCoVs. HCoV infection was more common in the non-endemic season for respiratory pathogens (odds ratio: 2.33, 95% confidence interval: 1.64-3.31). HCoV-OC43 (41.72%, 68/163) was the most common type of HCoV detected. The co-infection rate was 31.29% (51/163) among 163 HCoV-positive cases, with HCoV-229E (53.13%, 17/32), the HCoV type that was most frequently associated with co-infection. Respiratory pathogens responsible for co-infections with HCoVs included parainfluenza virus, rhinovirus/enterovirus, influenza A virus, and adenovirus. Furthermore, we identified one patient co-infected with HCoV-OC43 and HCoV-NL63/HKU1. The prevalence of common HCoVs remains low in ILI/SARI cases, in Shanghai. However, the seasonal pattern of HCoVs may be opposite to that of other respiratory pathogens. Moreover, HCoVs are likely to co-exist with specific respiratory pathogens. The potential role of co-infections with HCoVs and other pathogenic microorganisms in infection and pathogenesis of ILI and SARI warrants further study.


Assuntos
Alphacoronavirus , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Coinfecção/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/virologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Alphacoronavirus/classificação , Alphacoronavirus/genética , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/história , China/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/diagnóstico , Infecções por Coronavirus/história , Feminino , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/classificação , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Estações do Ano
18.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(35)2021 08 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34426498

RESUMO

Observational knowledge of the epidemic intensity, defined as the number of deaths divided by global population and epidemic duration, and of the rate of emergence of infectious disease outbreaks is necessary to test theory and models and to inform public health risk assessment by quantifying the probability of extreme pandemics such as COVID-19. Despite its significance, assembling and analyzing a comprehensive global historical record spanning a variety of diseases remains an unexplored task. A global dataset of historical epidemics from 1600 to present is here compiled and examined using novel statistical methods to estimate the yearly probability of occurrence of extreme epidemics. Historical observations covering four orders of magnitude of epidemic intensity follow a common probability distribution with a slowly decaying power-law tail (generalized Pareto distribution, asymptotic exponent = -0.71). The yearly number of epidemics varies ninefold and shows systematic trends. Yearly occurrence probabilities of extreme epidemics, Py, vary widely: Py of an event with the intensity of the "Spanish influenza" (1918 to 1920) varies between 0.27 and 1.9% from 1600 to present, while its mean recurrence time today is 400 y (95% CI: 332 to 489 y). The slow decay of probability with epidemic intensity implies that extreme epidemics are relatively likely, a property previously undetected due to short observational records and stationary analysis methods. Using recent estimates of the rate of increase in disease emergence from zoonotic reservoirs associated with environmental change, we estimate that the yearly probability of occurrence of extreme epidemics can increase up to threefold in the coming decades.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/história , Surtos de Doenças , Saúde Global , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Vigilância em Saúde Pública
19.
Virus Res ; 305: 198551, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34454972

RESUMO

Samples from complete genomes of SARS-CoV-2 isolated during the first wave (December 2019-July 2020) of the global COVID-19 pandemic from 21 countries (Asia, Europe, Middle East and America) around the world, were analyzed using the phylogenetic method with molecular clock dating. Results showed that the first cases of COVID-19 in the human population appeared in the period between July and November 2019 in China. The spread of the virus into other countries of the world began in the autumn of 2019. In mid-February 2020, the virus appeared in all the countries we analyzed. During this time, the global population of SARS-CoV-2 was characterized by low levels of the genetic polymorphism, making it difficult to accurately assess the pathways of infection. The rate of evolution of the coding region of the SARS-CoV-2 genome equal to 7.3 × 10-4 (5.95 × 10-4-8.68 × 10-4) nucleotide substitutions per site per year is comparable to those of other human RNA viruses (Measles morbillivirus, Rubella virus, Enterovirus C). SARS-CoV-2 was separated from its known close relative, the bat coronavirus RaTG13 of the genus Betacoronavirus, approximately 15-43 years ago (the end of the 20th century).


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Evolução Molecular , Genoma Viral , Taxa de Mutação , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Animais , Ásia/epidemiologia , COVID-19/história , COVID-19/transmissão , COVID-19/virologia , Quirópteros/virologia , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Genômica/métodos , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Oriente Médio/epidemiologia , América do Norte/epidemiologia , Filogenia , Polimorfismo Genético , SARS-CoV-2/classificação , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , América do Sul/epidemiologia
20.
Hist Cienc Saude Manguinhos ; 28(3): 869-874, 2021.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34346995

RESUMO

This article describes the emergence of health concerns relating to the epidemics that occurred during the twentieth century in La Pampa, a province in Argentina. Epidemics such as smallpox drove such policies, which frequently originated in Buenos Aires, the country's capital. The spread of many epidemics was due to shortages: water, sewage and adequate refuse disposal, an insufficient number of health care workers, the presence of disease transmission vectors such as mosquitos, and, ultimately, poverty. The historical experience described in this text highlights the importance of analyzing the impact of SARS-CoV-2 beyond the big cities.


Este artículo describe el inicio de las preocupaciones sanitarias vinculadas a las epidemias ocurridas durante el siglo XX en La Pampa, provincia argentina. Las epidemias, como las de la viruela, fueron un estímulo para estas políticas que frecuentemente tuvieron origen en Buenos Aires, la capital del país. El contagio de muchas epidemias dependía de carencias de infraestructura: agua, desagüe y desecho adecuado de basuras, de la ausencia de un número suficiente de trabajadores de salud, de la presencia de vectores transmisores de enfermedades como los mosquitos y, en última instancia, de la pobreza. La experiencia histórica descrita en este texto resalta la importancia de analizar el impacto del SARS-CoV-2 más allá de las grandes ciudades.


Assuntos
COVID-19/história , Epidemias/história , Varíola/história , Animais , Argentina/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Criança , Cidades/epidemiologia , Cidades/história , Erradicação de Doenças/história , Erradicação de Doenças/organização & administração , Feminino , Pessoal de Saúde/história , Pessoal de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Política de Saúde/história , Política de Saúde/legislação & jurisprudência , História do Século XX , Humanos , Índios Sul-Americanos/história , Índios Sul-Americanos/estatística & dados numéricos , Insetos Vetores , Masculino , Militares/história , Pobreza/história , Eliminação de Resíduos/história , Esgotos , Varíola/epidemiologia , Varíola/prevenção & controle , Vacinação/história , Vacinação/legislação & jurisprudência , Abastecimento de Água/história
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